Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 307.555607 349.527735 396.621741 453.663208 521.262515 599.285677 696.831818
2025-01-05 240.164651 292.912321 357.631672 443.967291 557.782609 705.089685 914.186455
2025-01-12 206.052289 262.914150 336.850943 442.073662 591.407561 801.258768 1128.881375
2025-01-19 175.674170 231.578794 307.416055 420.677788 590.736893 845.645983 1275.541569
2025-01-26 164.854216 224.381938 308.595751 440.644835 650.766637 987.942271 1606.409530
2025-02-02 157.760202 221.072530 314.160874 466.926816 723.867858 1164.594501 2044.551520
2025-02-09 145.879055 209.127868 304.988780 468.139729 755.215957 1275.729681 2393.361249
2025-02-16 133.129037 194.414842 289.637345 456.669068 761.949401 1342.433210 2671.100565
2025-02-23 122.743014 182.310947 277.005936 447.846626 771.475807 1415.573008 2985.340048
2025-03-02 117.385767 177.640481 275.886823 458.806405 819.711273 1576.906658 3564.929340
2025-03-09 110.620188 170.020086 268.946185 458.097571 844.531893 1693.429957 4075.647674
2025-03-16 103.136354 160.564823 257.905643 448.224137 848.704742 1763.982335 4487.653227
2025-03-23 97.696143 154.334024 252.286789 448.796275 876.819168 1902.044227 5178.093101
2025-03-30 91.283550 145.954899 242.099092 439.182203 881.178157 1983.468226 5733.913987
2025-04-06 86.567848 140.173782 236.113043 437.317260 902.891207 2116.039762 6542.434065
2025-04-13 79.843669 130.332388 221.714400 416.205130 875.504581 2107.437147 6819.117587
2025-04-20 78.679146 130.441692 226.188759 435.907276 951.451446 2416.677014 8589.849217
2025-04-27 78.203483 131.755718 233.082235 461.836143 1048.819834 2825.956221 11180.949000
2025-05-04 75.084013 127.874121 229.296636 463.032642 1080.814951 3036.224395 12993.027679
2025-05-11 70.954442 121.798077 220.580550 451.716798 1076.231636 3120.385357 14192.318208
2025-05-18 67.393094 116.601618 213.287403 443.012797 1077.778895 3228.499981 15660.861555
2025-05-25 65.886171 115.304887 214.001707 453.825357 1138.800213 3583.076673 19207.361170
2025-06-01 63.455308 112.026917 210.256478 453.126071 1165.000342 3812.136172 22191.164418